003 
FXUS64 KTSA 102104
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
404 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably cool weather will continue into early next week. An
upper trof will bring a chance of some light rain late Thursday
night and Friday, and will also send a reinforcing cold front
through the area. Moisture from the remnants of Pacific hurricane
Sergio will bring widespread rain Saturday and Saturday night, but
there continues to be significant model differences as to just
where the heaviest rainfall will occur, with the ECMWF well south
of the GFS. Another reinforcing cold front arrives Sunday, with
the coldest air yet to follow in its wake. Another upper trof
swings across the area Monday, with the ECMWF showing widespread
rainfall at that time while the GFS is dry. Will lean towards the
ECMWF at this time, with a raw damp day looking more likely for
Monday. A warming trend will commence Tuesday into the latter part
of next week, with dry weather likely to prevail much of that
time. 

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   41  60  48  61 /   0   0  40  50 
FSM   46  66  49  62 /   0   0  20  40 
MLC   45  64  50  64 /   0   0  30  40 
BVO   38  58  45  58 /   0   0  50  60 
FYV   39  60  41  58 /   0   0  20  40 
BYV   41  60  43  57 /   0   0  20  40 
MKO   44  62  48  61 /   0   0  30  40 
MIO   40  58  45  56 /   0   0  20  60 
F10   44  61  49  62 /   0   0  40  50 
HHW   48  68  51  65 /   0   0  10  30 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

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