242 
FXUS62 KTBW 111542
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1142 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.UPDATE...
Thankfully, Tropical Storm Michael continues to quickly push away 
from our region which will provide good recovery weather for our 
friends in the Panhandle which were devastated yesterday by
this historic storm... 

A trailing line of showers with a few embedded thunderstorms formed 
early this morning and is currently oriented from NE-SW between 
Highlands county to approximately 70 miles off the coast of 
Charlotte county. This line has been rather persistent and training 
over the same areas, so we will monitor closely over the
next few hours for possible street flooding concerns. 
Besides adjusting PoPs related to this convective band, no 
large changes were made this morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
A line of heavy showers has persisted across PGD and 
created periods of IFR and even LIFR. This line will very
slowly work towards the southeast and likely affect RSW/FMY
early this afternoon. Winds remain out of the W-WSW and 
will eventually veer more out of the north as a drier 
boundary pushes into the area tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Tropical storm Michael is quickly pushing away from the region. 
Winds and seas will continue to improve through the day but
conditions will still not be ideal for boating due to residual seas 
and breezy winds. A frontal boundary will push across the area
through the evening and overnight hours, shifting winds to a more
northerly direction. Dry weather and northerly winds will persist 
through the weekend.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  89  74  88  69 /  20   0   0   0 
FMY  88  76  89  72 /  50  20  20  10 
GIF  90  72  89  67 /  20   0   0   0 
SRQ  88  75  87  70 /  40  10   0   0 
BKV  90  68  88  60 /  20  10   0   0 
SPG  88  76  87  72 /  20   0   0   0 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement until 10 PM EDT this evening for 
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota.

     High Surf Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for 
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     High Rip Current Risk until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for 
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...42/Norman 
UPPER AIR...57/McMichael
DECISION SUPPORT...74/Wynn