348 
FXUS64 KSJT 102339
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
639 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals tonight and Thursday. The
winds will be light.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 302 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Thursday) 

Patchy early morning clouds have cleared out of the region this 
afternoon, making way for sunny skies across West Central Texas. A 
cool air mass was left behind by the cold front that passed through 
last night, and temperatures at 1 pm were only in the 60s across the 
region. Expect highs today in the low to mid 70s south of the Big 
Country and in the upper 60s in the Big Country. It will still be 
chilly tonight, with lows in the low to mid 50s.

Thursday day-time looks dry, with highs below normal once again in 
the low to mid 70s. 

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Thursday)

..Locally heavy rainfall possible this weekend and possibly
into early next week...

Remnants of tropical storm Sergio are expected to move from El 
Paso northeast across North Texas and Oklahoma...Friday night into
Saturday. The main focus of heavy rainfall with this system is 
across the Big Country and Concho Valley...Big Lake to San Angelo 
to Brownwood and northward. WPC rainfall amounts range from 1 to 3
inches, with the heaviest along/north of I-20. 

Another period of heavier rain may redevelop Sunday afternoon 
into Monday, as a developing upper trough over New Mexico, brings 
lift and a possible overrunning rainfall event over the cold 
front Sunday. The models are focusing this rainfall over southern 
sections along I-10 and the Concho Valley. There could be a couple
inches more rainfall, but confidence is medium at this time, 
given it is still 4 to 5 days out. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  51  72  59  77 /   0   5  20  30 
San Angelo  53  76  61  79 /   0   5  20  30 
Junction  54  77  63  79 /   0   5  10  30 
Brownwood  49  73  59  79 /   0   5  10  30 
Sweetwater  53  70  60  77 /   0  10  20  30 
Ozona       55  75  63  77 /   0   5  10  30 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$