563 
FXUS64 KSJT 100950
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
450 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Early this morning, a weak cold front is moving south across 
southern portions of the forecast area and will clear the I-10 
corridor by daybreak. A drier and cooler airmass will filter into 
the area behind the front today, with mostly sunny skies and below 
normal temperatures. Winds will be light northerly today, with 
afternoon highs ranging from the upper 60s across the Big Country, 
to the mid 70s across southern sections of the forecast area.
 
A cool surface ridge will be in place across the area tonight.
Skies will be mostly clear and with light winds and a drier airmass, 
temperatures will be quite chilly. Overnight lows will range from 
the upper 40s across the northern Big Country, to the lower 50s 
elsewhere. 

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Wednesday)

Rain chances return again for this weekend along with the 
possibility for more flooding concerns. In fact, Thursday and Friday 
afternoon may see a few isolated thunderstorms in association with a 
weak disturbance. Then, the main show will begin on Saturday and 
Sunday as the remnants of tropical cyclone Sergio move across the 
region. This combined with a strong trough moving across the western 
U.S. and on into the plains will provide plenty of support for 
showers and thunderstorms. With soils already saturated, or near 
saturated, this could lead to additional flooding concerns for the 
weekend. Rain chances will remain fairly low until a better handle 
is had on the positioning of each feature.

Finally, it appears as though a strong cold front will pass through 
the region sometime on Sunday. Temperatures on Monday, as a result, 
will be much cooler than the previous few days. Early indications 
are showing temperatures in the mid 50s, however, uncertainty is 
high at this point in time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  69  50  72  56 /   0   0   5  20 
San Angelo  75  53  76  59 /   0   0  10  10 
Junction  76  53  76  60 /   0   0   5  10 
Brownwood  71  50  73  55 /   0   0   5  10 
Sweetwater  68  52  70  58 /   0   0  10  20 
Ozona       76  54  77  60 /   0   0  10  10 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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