263 FXUS64 KSJT 100600 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 100 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018 .AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/ MVFR stratus will affect the KABI terminal through daybreak, otherwise clear skies will dominate the next 24 hours. Patchy ground fog may develop after 10Z and last through mid morning. For now, confidence is not high but did go ahead and add a TEMPO group for some MVFR visibilities. Winds will remain light through the forecast period. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 702 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018/ AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ Expect VFR conditions at the terminals tonight and Wednesday. The winds will be light. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 311 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018/ SHORT TERM... (Tonight and Wednesday) Showers and thunderstorms have moved east of the forecast area early this afternoon, and visible satellite shows mostly sunny skies everywhere except in the Big Country and Heartland regions, where clouds should clear out through the rest of the afternoon. Tonight and Wednesday should be dry with mostly clear skies, as a dry air mass (dewpoints down into the 40s and low 50s and precipitable water only around 0.4-0.6 inches) filters into the region. A cold front moving down from the north late tonight will bring breezy northerly winds into the area and colder air as well. Overnight lows may get down into the upper 40s/low 50s in the Big Country, and mainly low 50s elsewhere. Tomorrow we should have below normal high temperatures (in the low 70s in the Big Country, and mid to upper 70s elsewhere). LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Tuesday) .Heavy rainfall possible this weekend... Remnants of Hurricane Sergio may affect West Central Texas this weekend...beginning late Friday night into Saturday night...as it quickly moves east across North Texas and Oklahoma. The best potential for heavy rainfall will be across the Big Country, though heavy rainfall can not be ruled out farther south. The weather prediction center (WPC) has 1 to 1.5 inches of rainfall across the Big Country Saturday, with 0.5 to 1 inches farther south. Locally heavier amounts are certainly possible. With saturated soils, the potential for flash flooding will exist. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop earlier Thursday night and Friday, with a weak disturbance ahead of the weekend system. Rainfall amount will be light generally 1/10 inch ore less. A cold front will move through Sunday, bringing colder air into the region. Highs in the 60s Sunday are expected in the Big Country with 70s farther south. Highs Monday are expected in the upper 50s and lower 60s and 60s Tuesday. Lows in the lower to mid 40s possible Sunday night and Monday night. Isolated shower may affect the region Sunday into Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 71 51 72 57 / 0 0 5 30 San Angelo 77 55 76 60 / 0 0 5 10 Junction 80 57 76 61 / 0 0 5 5 Brownwood 74 52 73 56 / 0 0 5 10 Sweetwater 71 53 70 59 / 0 0 10 30 Ozona 79 56 77 61 / 0 0 10 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ 99/99/24