344 FXUS64 KSHV 092055 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 355 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 .SHORT TERM... Scattered showers and isold tstms dveloped across the area with a few stgr tstms beginning to increase over lower ne TX. Heaviest rainfall potential and svr threat, mainly for damaging winds, durg the eve. However, rainfall to become more widespread with passage of cold front later tonight. Overnight lows will range from upper 60s to lower 70s on wet night. Rain to diminish from the west by early Wednesday with highs ranging through the 80s. As winds become light and skies clear later in the day, temperatures will plummet into the 50s with the first good taste of autumn air enters the picture, with a few upper 40s even possible across extreme northern portions of the region./07/. .LONG TERM.../Thursday through Monday Night/ Weak upper ridging across the Four State region to allow for mostly clear skies on Thursday. Additionally, with Canadian high pressure surging south in the wake of Michael, cool conditions can be expected with Thursday morning temperatures starting out in the low 50s to low 60s with afternoon highs in the 70s. As the surface high becomes better established on Thursday night, overnight low temperatures are forecast to fall into lower 50s with portions of Southeast Oklahoma dipping into the upper 40s. Surface high pressure forecast to shift east on Friday ahead of the remnants of Hurricane Sergio from the Eastern Pacific. Increased moisture from this tropical system will move across the ArkLaTex on Saturday, bringing increased rain chances during the day into the overnight hours. Surface low will become absorbed in an eastward moving cold front on Sunday, allowing for lingering rain chances through Sunday night. Temperatures during the weekend to range from highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s to lows in the 50s. High pressure behind the front will maintain cool temperatures through early next week with daytime high temperatures on Monday averaging in the 60s and overnight lows Monday night/Tuesday morning possibly falling into the mid 40s to near 50 degrees. /05/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 104 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018/ AVIATION... A line of convection slowly breaking up as it moves closer into area from the west. Prevailing tstm conditions may hold at ktyr and possibly kggg and ktxk by 09/20-22z. Elsewhere, Isold showers developing with increased scattered tstm potential by 09/20z. Some storms may contain wind gusts over 40 kts. A line of convection assoc with cdfnt slowly movg east across area after 10/03 at ktyr and movg east of kmlu after 10/12z. South winds around 10 kts this aftn becmg lgt later tonight with patchy fog and low clouds possible outside of rain and storms overnight. Fropa bringing nw winds 5 to 10 kts and cigs becmg high mvfr to low vfr to possible scattered before the 10/18z fcst cycle./07/. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 72 83 56 77 / 80 30 0 0 MLU 74 87 58 78 / 70 40 0 0 DEQ 70 77 51 73 / 90 30 0 0 TXK 70 79 54 73 / 90 30 0 0 ELD 73 84 55 74 / 80 50 0 0 TYR 67 78 55 75 / 80 10 0 0 GGG 70 79 55 76 / 80 20 0 0 LFK 71 84 57 79 / 60 10 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$