492 
FXUS64 KOHX 110352
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1052 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

True Autumn is knocking on the door as the cold front is creeping
closer. Northwesterly winds and dew points in the 50s can be noted
near the Mississippi River. The line of showers that is currently
ongoing from Giles County northeastward to Clay county is 
associated with a prefrontal trough. The plateau is receiving some
rain associated with the Hurricane Michael rain shield. That rain
will move east of the plateau over the next 3 hours with the pre
frontal trough following after that. Hourly pops were adjusted to
speed up the rain chances as they exit to the east overnight and 
into the dawn hours. Sky grids were also adjusted with the same 
quicker trend to partly cloudy to mostly clear skies.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

With a cold front on the way, a weakening line of showers
continues to push through our mid-state terminals. Brief periods 
of MVFR conditions can be expected for the next couple of hours
at KCSV, but VFR should be the prevalent flight category as skies
look to clear out for KCKV/KBNA/KMQY overnight, KCSV late 
tomorrow morning.

Winds will be the bigger story for aviation buffs tonight. As
winds shift around to the northwest behind the front, it will
start to gust 20-25 kts, relaxing a little during the day
Thursday, but still breezy through early Thursday evening.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Reagan
AVIATION........Unger