925 
FXUS64 KOHX 102321
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
621 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

An organized line of convection is finally developing west of
Nashville as a cold front approaches Middle Tennessee from the
west. Activity probably won't be more than scattered the duration
of the afternoon, with the strongest cells likely forming east of
I-65 this evening as the aforementioned cold front pushes into the
mid state. Given the lack of instability across Middle Tennessee,
don't expect more than isolated storms with this system; most
of the activity will be showers only. Clearing later tonight and
tomorrow morning will be rapid as the cold front exits the mid
state and Hurricane Michael pulls off to the east. Look for 
significantly cooler temperatures by morning, and especially 
Thursday and Friday nights as strong cold advection takes place 
behind the cold front. The next chance of rain comes Sunday and 
Monday with a second cold front. This won't be a big weather-
producer; October cold fronts are often more about air mass 
change than active weather. And this next cold front will 
reinforce the cool air and keep our temperatures autumn-like 
throughout the upcoming 7-day forecast period and beyond.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

With a cold front on the way, a weakening line of showers
continues to push through our mid-state terminals. Brief periods 
of MVFR conditions can be expected for the next couple of hours, 
but VFR should be the prevalent flight category as skies look to 
clear out for KCKV/KBNA/KMQY overnight, KCSV late tomorrow 
morning.

Winds will be the bigger story for aviation buffs tonight. As
winds shift around to the northwest behind the front, it will
start to gust 20-25 kts, relaxing a little during the day
Thursday, but still breezy through the remainder of the TAF cycle.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......08
AVIATION........Unger