477 FXUS64 KOHX 100848 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 348 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018 .DISCUSSION... Cold front will be on approach today with the frontal boundary working through the mid state by around midnight tonight. Meanwhile, hurricane Michael is expected to move ashore and cross the FL Panhandle. He will then track northeast across southern GA. With this track, little moisture in association with Michael, will reach our area. However, the aforementioned boundary will conjure up some moisture of its own. Thus, look for shower and a few tstms to increase from west to east today and into tonight. There is not much upper support in the post frontal sector. Thus, look for pops to drop off rather rapidly late tonight from west to east. Lowering pops will persist across the Plateau through the day on Thursday. Qpf totals through Thursday will average around 1/3 to 1/2 inch. For our near term temps, looks like muggy conditions for 1 more day today. Highs will reach the lower to mid 80s with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Then, cooler weather to move in. Highs on Thursday will be only in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Turning even cooler by Friday as the sfc high moves closer. Friday morning will carry lows in the lower 40s, highs Friday 60 to 65. In the extended fcst, a quick moving inverted trough may bring a few showers on Sunday. This will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air for next week. The pattern will be rather progressive with yet another boundary passage around mid week. The ext temps are looking like they will run on the cool side. Generally, look for lows in the 40s, and highs lower to mid 60s. Monday night looks like the coolest of the nights with lows in the 30s, and perhaps some light frost? We shall see, but it appears that Autumn has finally arrived. && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF DISCUSSION. Some MVFR cigs can be expected around sunrise Wednesday morning as low-level moisture continues to increase ahead of an approaching frontal system. VFR should return during the mid-morning hours for all terminals. Winds will pick up out of the south a little Wednesday morning, too. Gusts of 15-20 kts can be expected through early evening ahead of a broken line of showers and thunderstorms expected to arrive towards the end of this TAF cycle. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 84 58 71 43 64 / 70 60 20 0 0 Clarksville 83 53 68 41 62 / 70 60 10 0 0 Crossville 82 59 67 42 60 / 60 70 50 10 0 Columbia 84 58 72 44 65 / 70 60 20 0 0 Lawrenceburg 85 58 72 43 65 / 70 70 20 0 0 Waverly 83 54 69 42 62 / 70 60 10 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION......21 AVIATION........07