447 
FXUS62 KMLB 101420
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1020 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.DISCUSSION...

...Hazardous Beach and Boating Conditions Continue This Afternoon...

Hurricane Michael continues on its way to reach the Florida 
panhandle this afternoon, where is forecast to make landfall as a
major hurricane. Extreme impacts as a consequence of its strong
winds, storm surge and heavy rainfall are expected across northern
Florida into the southeast United States today and tonight. 
Locally for east central Florida, high clouds from the outer bands
of Michael are streaming over the local area with showers affecting
the near and offshore waters and coastal sites of Martin to 
Indian River counties.

As the day progresses, showers and thunderstorms are expected to
increase in coverage from south to north as Michael makes a NNE to
NE turn later today. A minor adjustment was done to our weather
wording, downgrading the chances of showers and storms for the
inland areas north of Lake Okeechobee for the rest of the morning
but increasing during the afternoon hours. No other changes were
necessary to our forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR cigs are affecting some of the east central terminals this
morning and are expected for the rest of the day. SE to SSE winds
of 10 to 15 knots and gusts of 20 to 25 knots will prevail with
reduction in visibilities as SHRA/TSRA develop this afternoon and
move generally to the north. 

&&

.MARINE...
Southeast winds near 20 knots and seas near 7 feet were reported 
at Buoy 41009 this morning and winds are expected to slightly 
turn from the SSE to S this afternoon as Hurricane Michael makes 
its way across the Florida Panhandle and starts moving towards the
northeast. At the same time, winds will slowly decrease for the
waters east of the Treasure coast to 15 to 20 knots this afternoon
and the advisory for small craft could be dropped later today.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Additional warm minimum temperature records will likely be tied or 
broken across east central Florida today, especially any sites that 
miss out on rainfall. 

     DATE   HI-MIN   LOW AS OF 8 AM
DAB 10-Oct  76 2017    79
MCO 10-Oct  75 2017    78
SFB 10-Oct  76 2017    78
MLB 10-Oct  80 2017    82
VRB 10-Oct  79 2017    82
FPR 10-Oct  79 1919    81

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Thursday for Flagler Beach 
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County 
     Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for Sebastian 
     Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line 
     to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

&&

$$

Negron/Pendergrast/Glitto