216 
FXUS65 KLKN 102150
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
250 PM PDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Cooler weather is expected to continue across the area
while another weak system moves across central Nevada producing
light to moderate mountain snow showers and valley rain showers on
Thursday. The system will exit the region by Friday, when drier 
and warmer weather will build into the region. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday. Confidence in the short term 
is high as the only concern will be a weak weather system 
traversing across central Nevada from late tonight through
tomorrow. This will provide an opportunity for valley rain 
showers and mountain snow showers. Generally only expecting a few 
inches of snow for the mountains. We still cannot rule out a few 
rain showers mix with or briefly change to snow in some of the 
higher elevation valleys in Nye and White Pine County, but even if
that were to occur, impacts would be minor. 

By Friday morning and afternoon, the storm will be exiting to the
east with a slight warming trend and a return to drier weather. 

.LONG TERM...Friday night through Thursday.

There is good agreement amongst long term models on the pattern 
evolution through the weekend and into next week. The weekend and
next week will see a rex blocking pattern set up across the 
western CONUS. This will start with a low pressure system 
deepening and then cutting off near the Baja California region 
during the weekend. This will then see a high pressure system 
build in north of the cut off system setting up the rex block by 
the start of next work week. This pattern will produce dry weather
across NV. This period will not even see any real cloud cover.
This will also bring temperatures into seasonal levels for this
time of year. 

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals for the next 24hours.
There will still be some light showers near KTPH and KELY today.
This additional rain may lead to some fog or level stratus but the
chance is not near enough to reflect in the forecasts. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Much cooler weather with continued good to
excellent RH recoveries will continue. A weak weather system will
pass through central Nevada, with some light to moderate
mountain snow and valley rain showers. By Friday, a warming and 
drying trend will replace the current weather pattern. 

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

94/99/99/94