346 
FXUS63 KLBF 110904
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
404 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

Main forecast issue this period are morning temperatures. Stratus
has moved into parts of the forecast area keeping temperatures
from falling into the low teens to low 20s. However, decided not
to raise temperatures as a break in the clouds will allow 
temperatures to plummet and forecaster confidence is moderate that
clouds will become more scattered or clear in locations before
sunrise. 

A disturbance will move across the High Plains this afternoon and
evening bringing precipitation chances. Decided to lower
precipitation chances this afternoon however as the best chance
for rainfall will be this evening. Rain will then change to snow
across the Sandhills and portions of north central Nebraska
overnight, with a rain/snow mix possible farther east. At this 
time snow accumulations are expected to be minimal.


.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

Forecast concerns will focus on the cold front moving through the
area Saturday. At this time there is a chance of rain changing to
snow overnight, mainly across southwest and western Nebraska.
However, models suggest the system doesn't have a lot of 
available moisture with it so precipitation amounts will be very 
light, less than 0.10 of an inch expected at this time. 

Temperatures will be 25 to 30 degrees cooler on Sunday with highs
only reaching the low to mid 30s. After this temperatures will
start to warm with highs reaching the 60s by Wednesday.  

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Areas of MVFR ceilings near OVC017 linger across western 
Nebraska. These ceilings should become scattered by 07z at KLBF. 
On Thursday, VFR conditions area expected during the day. As a 
weather system moves into the area late afternoon and during the 
evening, a PROB30 at KLBF and KVTN for -RA or -SN after 00z 
Friday. 


&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning until 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning for 
NEZ005>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Roberg