362 FXUS62 KKEY 111457 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1057 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 .DISCUSSION... .CURRENTLY... Under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10 to 15 mph, temperatures are averaging in the mid 80s along the island chain. Meanwhile, local radars are detecting only isolated showers along the Florida Keys and the adjacent nearshore waters. Surface wise, a western Atlantic ridge lies across the extreme southern straits of Florida and the archipelago of Cuba. On our marine district, winds are mainly southwest at 10 knots or less. && .SHORT TERM...(Rest of Today) Given plenty of moisture below 700 mb and no large scale subsidence, mesoscale forcing in the form of reverse west cloud line genesis (sw-ne) and cloud streets will prompt low chance pops to be retained. Enough insolation will allow high temperatures to climb into the upper 80s to near 90 degrees. && .MARINE... Outside of residual northwest swells emanating into the outer Waters of Mainland Monroe resulting in a Small Craft Should Exercise Caution for these coastal waters, mainly southwest winds near 10 knots can be expected for the rest of our marine district. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon at the island terminals. With that said, a weak flow paralleling the island chain will result in periods of island cloud line formation. Some of this activity may briefly produce sub VFR conditions at the island terminals, particularly at MTH. Surface winds will be light out of the southwest. && .CLIMATE... In 1953, the daily record low temperature of 68 degrees was recorded in Key West. Temperature records date back to 1872. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...APA Aviation/Nowcasts....11 Data Collection......BT Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest