549 
FXUS62 KKEY 100846
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
446 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Around the Keys and coastal waters this morning a few isolated 
showers are continuing to race northward with storm activity 
continuing to diminish as the effects of Michael move further 
to the north and out of the region. The pressure gradient remains 
a bit tight though with sustained winds around 16 mph with 
gusting above 20 mph at KKEY... while Marathon is reporting south 
winds around 12 mph. Looking at current temperatures along the Key
all locations are holding in the lower 80s... this will change as
temperatures just fall a bit towards sunrise.

A Small Craft Advisory remains will remain in effect for the gulf 
side coastal waters... but will taper coastal zones back through 
the day as the gradient weakens and winds diminish. Seas with 
subside in response to falling winds. Will hold onto higher 
precipitation pops over the outer gulf side zones early... but 
trending all zones back to around 50 percent pops through the day.
As Michael moves into Georgia tonight... moisture will following 
in the wake of this storm and will trend precipitation back a bit 
more tonight. Weather will move back to the usual pattern with
passing showers and isolated thunderstorms for tomorrow.

Those that have been waiting for the first cold front. Well a 
front that is currently in Louisiana and the Texas coastal waters 
will move across the gulf today and into central Florida towards 
Friday where the system stall just to our north. This will kick 
off showers across the Keys Friday into Saturday. This boundary is
then projected to pull back with precipitation tapering back to 
seasonal climate levels late Saturday. 

&&

.AVIATION...
All sites remain vfr with only a few light showers in the coastal
waters. Winds at 1,000 to 3,000 feet are south around 32 to 37
knots. These conditions will hold through the morning hours. 

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this date in 1870, a hurricane moved slowly through the Florida 
Straits producing hurricane-force winds in the Florida Keys. Also on 
this date but in 1909, the daily record rainfall of 3.18" was 
recorded. Precipitation records at Key West date back to 1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  88  80  87  80 / 50 40 40 30 
Marathon  88  79  88  79 / 50 40 40 30 

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for 
     GMZ035-044-054-074.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for GMZ055-
     075.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GMZ033-034.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...K. Kuyper
Aviation/Nowcasts....S. Delgado
Data Collection......S. Delgado

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