387 
FXUS63 KIWX 101812
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
210 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 210 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018 

A cold front will swing through the area this evening with showers 
and an isolated thunderstorm possible. Expect much more fall like 
weather through next week, with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s 
and 40s. Some frost is possible early Saturday morning, when lows 
drop into the lower to middle 30s. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Swd trailing cold front in association with deepening sfc cyclone 
over wrn WI will accelerate ewd this evening. Disorganized broken 
band of showers along prefrontal trough will work quickly eastward 
and end west to east mid evening. Strong post frontal low level cold 
advection then follows on Thu with gusty wrly winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Remarkably colder this period compared to prior unseasonably warmth. 
Vigorous deep layer troughing to manifest across se Canada in 
response to secondary strong disturbance amplifying through James 
Bay Sun night followed by tertiary additional wave Wed. Net effect 
will be increasing low level thermal trough developing across the 
Great Lakes as successive influxes of cold advection carve sewd 
behind each shortwave. Accompanying cold fronts will be moisture 
starved and orphaned from stronger dynamics aloft thus mainly dry 
and unseasonably cool through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1237 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Deteriorating flight conditions anticipated this afternoon into 
early this evening at KSBN/FWA as rain associated with a 
shortwave/sfc trough swing through. Storm chances remain non-zero, 
though lacking instability and cloud cover keep chances too low for 
a mention. Post-frontal MVFR stratocumulus then post-frontal 
overnight into Thursday morning. 

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday 
     for LMZ043-046.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Murphy/T
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...T 
AVIATION...Steinwedel


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