663 
FXUS64 KEWX 110902
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
402 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)...
Increasing moisture and isentropic lift along the Rio Grande has 
resulted in the development of showers and thunderstorms there into
Mexico. This trend continues today into tonight as a weak mid level 
impulse and some moisture from eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Sergio 
move into our area. Showers and thunderstorms spread further to the 
east across the Hill Country and Rio Grande Plains on Friday as 
moisture continues to deepen with another mid level impulse passing
through while Sergio makes landfalls across Baja California and 
Sonora state of Mexico.

&&

.LONG TERM (Friday Night through Wednesday)...
The remnants of Sergio move across Texas on Saturday. While the
remnants are expected to pass north of our area, moisture deepens
further and the right entrance region of the upper level jet sets up
over our area on Saturday with a strong cold front moving through on
Sunday while an 850 MB boundary lingers out west into early next
week. Showers and thunderstorms become more numerous this weekend 
into early next week. There is a potential for locally heavy rains 
due to PWs up to 2 inches and isolated strong storms due to adequate 
deep layer shear. The best chances will be mainly across the Edwards 
Plateau and Hill Country to the Escarpment areas where the best 
dynamics will be. Models continue to trend colder with the airmass 
behind the front along with the clouds and rain inhibiting 
insolation. Temperatures may not make it out of the 50s by middle of 
next week. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              77  62  83  66  81 /   0   0  10  30  50 
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  78  60  83  66  82 /   0   0  10  30  40 
New Braunfels Muni Airport     78  61  83  67  83 /   0   0  10  30  40 
Burnet Muni Airport            75  60  79  65  77 /   0  -   20  40  60 
Del Rio Intl Airport           78  67  82  70  84 /  30  20  30  30  50 
Georgetown Muni Airport        76  59  81  64  79 /   0  -   10  40  50 
Hondo Muni Airport             79  64  84  69  84 /  10   0  10  30  50 
San Marcos Muni Airport        78  60  84  67  83 /   0   0  10  30  40 
La Grange - Fayette Regional   79  60  84  66  84 /   0   0  -   10  20 
San Antonio Intl Airport       78  63  83  69  84 /   0   0  10  30  50 
Stinson Muni Airport           79  63  84  70  85 /   0   0  10  30  50 

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Synoptic/Grids...04