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WWUS63 KDMX 091848
WCNDMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 404
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
148 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018

IAC001-003-007-013-015-017-023-039-049-051-053-069-075-079-083-
099-117-121-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-
185-100200-
/O.NEW.KDMX.TO.A.0404.181009T1848Z-181010T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 404 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN IOWA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 32 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL IOWA

BOONE                 DALLAS                GRUNDY               
HAMILTON              HARDIN                JASPER               
MARSHALL              POLK                  POWESHIEK            
STORY                 TAMA                  

IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA

BUTLER                FRANKLIN              

IN NORTHEAST IOWA

BLACK HAWK            BREMER                

IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA

APPANOOSE             CLARKE                DECATUR              
LUCAS                 MADISON               MAHASKA              
MARION                MONROE                RINGGOLD             
UNION                 WARREN                WAYNE                

IN SOUTHEAST IOWA

DAVIS                 WAPELLO               

IN SOUTHWEST IOWA

ADAIR                 ADAMS                 TAYLOR               

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ACKLEY, ADAIR, ADEL, ALBIA, ALLERTON,
ALLISON, AMES, APLINGTON, BEDFORD, BLOOMFIELD, BOONE, CARLISLE, 
CEDAR FALLS, CENTERVILLE, CHARITON, CLARKSVILLE, CONRAD, CORNING,
CORYDON, CRESTON, DES MOINES, DIKE, DUMONT, DYSART, EARLHAM, 
ELDORA, FONTANELLE, GLADBROOK, GREENE, GREENFIELD, GRINNELL, 
GRUNDY CENTER, HAMPTON, HUMESTON, INDIANOLA, IOWA FALLS, 
KNOXVILLE, LAMONI, LENOX, LEON, MARSHALLTOWN, MOUNT AYR, 
NEW MARKET, NEWTON, NORWALK, OSCEOLA, OSKALOOSA, OTTUMWA, 
PARKERSBURG, PELLA, PERRY, REINBECK, SEYMOUR, SHELL ROCK, STUART,
TAMA, TOLEDO, TRAER, WATERLOO, WAUKEE, WAVERLY, WEBSTER CITY, 
WELLSBURG, AND WINTERSET.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

 A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE.
 ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE.

PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  60%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES       :  30%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  30%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 75 MPH            :  10%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              : <05%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          : <05%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  40%
MEAN STORM MOTION /MPH/                            :  NE 35

$$

KOTENBERG